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BTCBTC
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Jim Bianco
Jim Bianco|Oct 15, 2025 18:21
1/3 The September CPI was supposed to be released today. Instead, it will be released on October 24, even if the government shutdown is not over. What follows are a couple of private sector data series to get a handle on inflation. The bottom line is that the Fed is currently ignoring the problem because it wants to cut rates. Daily CPI Measures Two websites that scrape the internet for prices and compile a type of daily CPI are Truflation and Pricestats. The scrape millions of prices from websites like Amazon and Walmart. The following chart aligns three measures from Pricestats and Truflation to April 2 at 0% (Liberation Day, the vertical dotted line). It shows the period before and after.(Jim Bianco)
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Timeline

Nov 14, 13:11BTC fell below 96,000
Nov 14, 12:51The decline is no less severe than last year and this year.
Nov 13, 19:49Market sentiment is poor, and liquidity recovery will take time.
Nov 13, 16:49CME and Kalshi lower the probability of a rate cut in December
Nov 13, 15:45The U.S. government shutdown has officially ended
Nov 13, 03:14The U.S. government ends its shutdown, increasing uncertainty in the release of economic data.
Nov 12, 21:30Federal Reserve's Collins says the previous two rate cuts were reasonable
Nov 12, 21:01Interest rate cuts require high threshold conditions
Nov 12, 15:57Is the market overly confident about a rate cut in December?
Nov 12, 07:23Non-farm payroll and CPI data will be exciting

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