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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|Oct 16, 2025 19:48
Leading indicators point to further weakness in the US job market: US job postings on Indeed fell another -2% MoM in September, reaching the lowest level since February 2021. Postings have declined -36% since May 2022 and are now just +2.4% above pre-pandemic levels from February 2020. The steepest decline has been in White Collar jobs excluding Health Care, with postings now -8% below pre-pandemic levels. Blue Collar job postings have also fallen, but remain ~12% above February 2020 levels. This all suggests a further deterioration in BLS-reported job openings for September. The labor market continues to weaken.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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Timeline

Nov 15, 15:15ETH / BTC descending channel consolidation is still forming
Nov 14, 19:41Inflation needs to decrease or the labor market needs to deteriorate to support rate cuts.
Nov 14, 16:52Bitcoin dominance declines
Nov 14, 14:34Funding rate has dropped to a neutral level
Nov 14, 00:37Rental prices in the United States are declining at a historic rate.
Nov 13, 13:49The CPI data failed to be released, revealing initial signs of fragility in the financial system.
Nov 13, 11:30Bitcoin remains stable at 103K, Altcoins pull back
Nov 13, 10:48Users holding BTC for the long term are accelerating distribution.
Nov 13, 03:30The 4-year Bitcoin cycle may have been permanently broken
Nov 12, 13:01Bitcoin liquidity model suggests a critical moment

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