
煌道 | 交易之道|Oct 17, 2025 02:53
10.17 The correlation between the Fed's balance sheet, ETH/BTC, and gold
1. First, the Fed's balance sheet represents liquidity. It is roughly positively correlated with ETH/BTC and somewhat negatively correlated with gold. During QT, ETH/BTC drops while gold rises; during QE, ETH/BTC rises while gold fluctuates.
2. Currently, we are at the end of QT. Gold seems to be having its final celebration, while ETH/BTC is undergoing its last adjustment. Looking bullish for ETH/BTC in Q4 and Q1 next year.
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