Summarize some of my recent experiences in the past year or two Historical tweet on the judgment method of "100 day rapid unilateral rise cycle of BTC": July 12, 2025 100 day cycle from May 9, 2025 to July 18, 2025 https://((((x.com))))/coolish/status/1943888069544804795 December 6, 2024 The 100 day cycle from 2025.9.7 to 2025.12.14 (the exact 100th day should be 2025.12.16) https://((((x.com))))/coolish/status/1864746691192324367 March 22, 2024 The 100 day cycle from January 22, 2024 to April 29. We plan to take a break in April and look again. Rush is the key word of the year https://((((x.com))))/coolish/status/1771009835703939337 January 7, 2024 A 100 day cycle from January 14, 2023 to January 22, 2024. A rapid and continuous rally can often pull out a high point in about 100 days? ” https://((((x.com))))/coolish/status/1743736456009613409 The 100 day drawing method can be summarized simply as follows: when the intensity and duration of a unilateral rapid rise reach a certain level, find the lowest starting point in the early stage, and the interval included in the middle should not violate the premise of "unilateral rapid rise". In practice, from a Bayesian probability perspective, I gradually increase the confirmation probability halfway through 100 days. So the relatively obvious function is to avoid the risk of the BTC market after several tens of consecutive days of FOMO (so this method has a considerable contribution to maintaining the Sharpe ratio and drawdown stability of the real market). Some specific time windows in the middle of the 100 day cycle can indeed be used to assist in judging the potential upward space and duration, but every time I post a tweet reminder, it is one or two weeks before the end of the 100 day cycle, because I think it is more responsible and useful to express risk warnings only by grasping the maximum signal time window (my Twitter friends will find that my tweet frequency is relatively low compared to others, probably averaging only 3 tweets per week in the past year or so, because I am... If you like it or don't express it, it's best to have an INTJ with some long-term value when expressing it, Plus, I hardly need to send business tweets, it's all based on my interests. Look at the chart I drew, it seems easy to find the starting point of a 100 day cycle, but later I found that many people would ask, 'Is it another 100 day cycle? Is X month X day the starting point?'? ”Various and diverse ideas, even delusions. Especially in the dynamic changes of the market. So this law is an effective moat: completely original by me, although I thought the definition was simple enough, the signal needs to be gradually confirmed at the weekly level (which is not within the patience range of most people), not too quickly or easily grasped by too many people, and believed with conviction. The unity of knowledge and action is used for execution (in reflexivity, the more people grasp, believe, and execute the law, the more ineffective it becomes). So there is too much noise in the market with various indicators, patterns, methods, and news. In such an environment, ineffective methods are actually the "protective color" of effective methods. Why is the probability of this method being effective so high? Many people may not think deeply enough to think that this is just a "stick style" method, or a superstition about coincidences. But when I created this method, I actually started from the perspectives of sociology, behavioral psychology, communication studies, and of course, game theory, etc. (if I can deeply understand these more first principles thinking starting points, it will be very helpful when determining the starting point and interval in specific operations). In short, I believe it belongs to a part of natural science and natural laws. My language expression ability is often not very good, and my mouth and pen often cannot keep up with my brain, which may give people a vague feeling. Previously, when I went to space, I was joked by my Twitter friends that I spoke too slowly and was too verbose ， I don't know how much the audience can understand after talking so much. Please forgive me if you can see the tweets here. Finally, as the effectiveness of such methods is made public, more and more people are paying attention to and believing in them, including the gradual changes in the situation of BTC itself. The future effectiveness dividends of the law are likely to decrease. With version updates, it is necessary to iteratively update the tactics, so it is important to use and cherish them.