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星球日报
星球日报|Oct 19, 2025 15:20
[Polymarket: Market bets that the U.S. government shutdown will last until after the end of November, with a 75% probability] Odaily Planet Daily News: According to the latest data from Polymarket, in the prediction market contract related to 'When will the U.S. government shutdown end,' the option 'Ends on or before November 30' has a 75% probability, while 'Ends on or before November 15' has a 59% probability. In the short term, the probability of 'Ends on or before October 24' is only 6%, indicating that the market generally believes it will be difficult for the government to resume operations in the short term.
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Timeline

Nov 18, 05:16Large funds believe there will be no interest rate cuts in December.
Nov 17, 13:56Looks like ZEC is coming to an end.
Nov 14, 14:16The probability of Bitcoin falling below $90,000 within the year has risen to 70%.
Nov 14, 13:31Saylor is selling Bitcoin
Nov 13, 19:50ETF whales continue accumulating, while retail investors remain hesitant
Nov 13, 16:49CME and Kalshi lower the probability of a rate cut in December
Nov 13, 15:45The U.S. government shutdown has officially ended
Nov 13, 11:30The end of the government shutdown changed the rules of the game.
Nov 12, 15:57Is the market overly confident about a rate cut in December?
Nov 11, 22:08The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 67.6%.

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