[Probability of the Federal Reserve Cutting Rates by 25 Basis Points in October Reaches 99.4%] CME data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in October is 99.4%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 0.6%. Additionally, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points by December is 98.6%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 0.9%.