[The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 99.5%] According to Golden Finance, citing CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 99.5%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 0.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting interest rates by 50 basis points by December is 91.6%.