[The probability of the U.S. government shutdown ending by the 15th rises to 98%] BlockBeats news, November 13, according to Polymarket data, the probability of the U.S. government shutdown ending between November 12 and 15 has risen to 98%, while the probability of it ending after November 16 is 2%. The U.S. House of Representatives will vote on the bill to end the government shutdown tomorrow at around 8 AM (Beijing time).