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BTCBTC
💲75198.72
+
0.17%
ETHETH
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💲0.7402
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37.8%
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TraderS | 缺德道人
TraderS | 缺德道人|Nov 15, 2025 00:36
Let’s do a quick recap of what happened in the overnight markets. The U.S. stock market recovered pretty well, especially with NVIDIA stabilizing and rebounding, which gave the market a decent amount of confidence. As long as the AI bubble doesn’t burst in the short term, the broader fundamentals should remain intact. At 4 AM, Logan unsurprisingly expressed opposition to the Fed cutting rates in December. Previously, she had opposed rate cuts in October, citing concerns about high inflation trending upward and the lengthy timeline required to reach the Fed’s 2% target. “When I look ahead to the December meeting, I find it hard to support another rate cut unless we have compelling evidence that inflation is indeed declining faster than I expect, or we see the labor market cooling not just gradually.” One key reason for the Fed’s internal opposition to rate cuts is the impact of tariffs on inflation. Coincidentally, Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on beef, tomatoes, coffee, and bananas, which could help lower food costs and contribute to controlling inflation. Looking at the charts, $BTC’s daily line has held steady at the 0.618 retracement level between 74,000 and 126,000. If it stabilizes here and forms a bottom, it would make sense. But the key question is: where’s the support coming from? According to the latest news, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the September non-farm payroll data next Thursday, which was originally scheduled for October 3. Since this data was collected before the U.S. government shutdown, it’s considered fairly reliable and will be the most important indicator for the Fed to reference ahead of the December rate-setting meeting. From a political standpoint, this data is likely the best and biggest “step down” the Trump camp can offer the Fed for a rate cut. Now it’s up to the Fed to see how they respond.
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Timeline

Dec 15, 00:06Kevin Hassett will maintain the Federal Reserve's decision-making independence
Dec 14, 14:12The Federal Reserve begins purchasing Treasury bills
Dec 13, 19:00Bitcoin found strong support around $80,000
Dec 13, 14:25The Federal Reserve conducted its third interest rate cut of 2025.
Dec 13, 04:02BTC is almost stuck at the 90,000 level.
Dec 13, 03:21U.S. stocks, gold, and Bitcoin all plummeted.
Dec 12, 22:40AI is part of the reason for the worsening unemployment rate in the United States.
Dec 12, 18:14The Federal Reserve reopens the liquidity valve
Dec 12, 17:23BTC spot ETF data performance is mediocre
Dec 12, 17:01The Federal Reserve's tough stance leads to market price reversal

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