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AiCoin
AiCoin|Nov 19, 2025 06:52
[Bitunix Analyst: Trump's Intervention in the Federal Reserve May Lead to U.S. Economic Stagflation] On November 19, the U.S. monetary system faced political disruption. Trump attempted to dismiss Federal Reserve Governor Cook and appoint economic advisor Milan to the FOMC, aiming to push for aggressive interest rate cuts. Economic models suggest that if monetary policy falls under political control, the U.S. may experience a brief period of prosperity followed by a stagflation cycle characterized by accelerating inflation, rising nominal interest rates, and declining economic growth. Bitunix analysts pointed out that Trump's interference in the interest rate trajectory could undermine the Federal Reserve's independence, pushing the U.S. economy into a 'prosperity first, stagflation later' cycle, posing deeper risks to global capital.
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Timeline

Dec 18, 14:02U.S. CPI rises by 2.7%, lower than expected
Dec 18, 13:35The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in January 2026 has risen to 28.8%.
Dec 18, 13:01Hassett stated that it is appropriate for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates now.
Dec 17, 18:34The Federal Reserve begins purchasing government bonds and injecting liquidity
Dec 17, 14:07Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee meets with crypto industry leaders
Dec 16, 18:00Employment data proves the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates faster
Dec 16, 14:57Analysis of U.S. November Non-Farm Payroll Data
Dec 16, 04:07Walsh becomes a top candidate for Federal Reserve Chair.
Dec 15, 15:32It is crucial for the Federal Reserve to bring the inflation rate back to 2%.
Dec 15, 14:35A faster pace of rate cuts approaches the neutral interest rate

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