金色财经|11月 19, 2025 20:33
[Data Gaps Intensify Internal Divisions at the Federal Reserve, Probability of Holding Steady in December Surges]
Reported by Golden Finance, the gap in U.S. employment data will persist until after the Federal Reserve's December meeting, exacerbating policy uncertainty and significantly increasing the likelihood of pausing rate cuts. Although the Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release September non-farm payroll data on Thursday, it has clarified that the next data release will not occur until December 16—at which point the full November dataset will include partial data from October. The Federal Reserve's December policy meeting is scheduled to conclude on December 10, Eastern Time. Meanwhile, the latest minutes from the Federal Reserve's October meeting reveal sharp divisions among officials over whether a third consecutive rate cut is necessary. Against this backdrop, the CME FedWatch Tool indicates that the probability of holding rates steady at the December meeting has risen from approximately 50% to nearly 70%.
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink