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PANews
PANews|11月 26, 2025 23:03
[JPMorgan Expects Fed to Cut Rates in December, Reversing Its Prediction from a Week Ago] According to Jintou News, JPMorgan economists have changed their forecast, now predicting that the Federal Reserve will initiate a rate cut in December. This reverses the bank's judgment from a week ago that policymakers would delay rate cuts until January next year. The research team, led by the bank's U.S. Chief Economist Michael Feroli, stated on Wednesday that recent comments from several key Fed officials (particularly New York Fed President John Williams) supporting near-term rate cuts prompted them to reassess the situation. Following the delayed release of the September jobs report last week, JPMorgan had originally predicted that rates would remain unchanged in December. Currently, JPMorgan expects the Fed to implement two 25-basis-point rate cuts in December and January next year. 'We are once again locking in the timing of the final rate cut to January next year,' Feroli wrote in a client report. 'While the outcome of the next FOMC meeting remains uncertain, we believe the latest round of statements from Fed officials has tipped the balance toward a December rate cut.'
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Timeline

12月 22, 11:34FOMC members are unwilling to support a fourth consecutive rate cut.
12月 21, 08:49Tom Lee's Outlook on Market Trends for 2026
12月 19, 22:43Federal Reserve Governor Milan: Interest rates should be lowered to address risks in the job market
12月 19, 14:25The default rate of U.S. companies has decreased, but the risk of re-default remains.
12月 18, 14:02U.S. CPI rises by 2.7%, lower than expected
12月 18, 13:35The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in January 2026 has risen to 28.8%.
12月 18, 13:01Hassett stated that it is appropriate for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates now.
12月 17, 18:34The Federal Reserve begins purchasing government bonds and injecting liquidity
12月 16, 18:00Employment data proves the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates faster
12月 16, 14:57Analysis of U.S. November Non-Farm Payroll Data

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