CyrilXBT|Dec 12, 2025 19:50
Think BTC ‘dumped out of nowhere’? It didn’t. Here’s what actually triggered that move 👇
1️⃣ Smashed into a brick wall
BTC just ran straight into a supply zone + key MAs (95–100k region).
Everyone and their dog was longing the breakout into resistance. When price stalled, sellers finally had a clean level to hit → first punch down.
2️⃣ Leverage tower got kicked
Funding + OI were elevated = crowded longs.
Once price dipped, those over-levered apes started getting margin-called.
Forced selling → more downside → more liquidations → waterfall candles.
You’re not just seeing people choosing to sell.. you’re watching the exchange close their bags for them.
3️⃣ Macro vibes turned from “euphoria” to “hmm…”
After Powell/Fed, markets are still repricing:
Will cuts be slower than we hoped?
How fast does liquidity actually come back?
Any hint of “less dovish than expected” hits risk assets first – crypto most of all. Thin liquidity = moves look extra violent.
4️⃣ What actually matters now
Forget the doom headlines. Watch:
Does BTC hold the last key support / higher low (mid–high 80Ks)?
Do funding + OI reset (leverage flushed) or stay overheated?
Does dominance stay strong (BTC leading) or start bleeding into alts?
Hard truth:
It’s longs piled into resistance, macro gave a small shove, liquidation engine did the rest.
If you survived this move with your size intact, you didn’t lose – you just bought a very expensive trading lesson for free.
If you enjoy time sensitive breakdowns - turn on notifs so u don't miss out(CyrilXBT)
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