𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂|12月 16, 2025 15:16
The unemployment rate is now 0.07bps away from triggering the Sahm Rule, which is an indicator that tries to mark the starts of recessions. It last triggered in Q2 2024 just before the Fed first lowered rates, a period of time when many thought a downturn was on the doorstep. It was a fakeout then (the first in the indicator's history). What about this time?(𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂)
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