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Phyrex
Phyrex|12月 16, 2025 19:37
Guys, this is a great question! If we look at it from the perspective of interest rates: $80 billion * 4% annualized = $3.2 billion annual revenue $800 billion * 1% annualized = $8 billion annual revenue Increasing the scale will definitely boost CRCL's absolute revenue, no doubt about it. But the biggest question is, how can USDC's scale grow from $80 billion to $800 billion? Keep in mind that even USDT's scale is less than $190 billion right now, and USDT's use cases are several times more than USDC's—especially in gray markets, cross-border transactions, and payment channels. And how many of these use cases are actually related to "compliance"? Additionally, for USDC, rate cuts don't directly reduce interest itself. One of the biggest impacts of rate cuts is accelerating USD liquidity. I can admit that USDC will increasingly resemble USD in the U.S., but anything USDC can do, USD can do too. And anything USDC can't do, USD can still do—it’s just a matter of efficiency. So, achieving a 10x growth during a rate-cut cycle? I think that's going to be pretty tough.
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Timeline

1月 07, 15:16The Federal Reserve's rate cut may exceed market pricing.
1月 07, 13:25Amundi downgrades its stance on the US dollar to 'cautious'
12月 31, 09:57The US dollar is likely to record its worst annual performance since 2017.
12月 18, 14:02U.S. CPI rises by 2.7%, lower than expected
12月 18, 06:34Global policy divergence intensifies, crypto market focuses on liquidity expectations
12月 17, 18:34The Federal Reserve begins purchasing government bonds and injecting liquidity
12月 16, 09:26Gold is expected to rise to $4,800 by the fourth quarter of 2026.
12月 11, 10:55The US dollar may face pressure again next year, with the AI bubble and interest rate outlook as key risks.
12月 11, 06:13The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates and initiates reserve management purchases
12月 11, 02:14Analysis of Powell's Rate Cuts on BTC

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