百萬Eric | Day Trader|12月 20, 2025 03:50
Bitcoin BITCOIN is about to trigger a daily oversold signal.
Looking back at the last five daily oversold instances:
1. The starting point of an uptrend
2. A continuation within an uptrend
3. A rebound within a consolidation range
4. A technical rebound after a bullish structure breakdown
5. A corrective rebound near the previous daily structure low
The circumstances were different, but one thing was consistent: in all five instances, Bitcoin responded positively to the oversold signal.
So, we can draw a simple conclusion: at the current level, the price is highly likely to respect the daily oversold signal.
However, it’s important to distinguish between “respecting the signal” and a “trend reversal.”
Even if an upward move follows, it’s more likely to resemble scenarios 4 and 5 above—rebounds within a downtrend structure—rather than a full trend reversal.
Only when key resistance levels are effectively broken and moving averages start to turn will I reassess the nature of this market move. Until then, any upward movement is viewed as a rebound. My perspective remains unchanged.
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