Phyrex|12月 28, 2025 20:19
Sunday went as expected, with no major changes. Bitcoin's slight fluctuation trend is already decent. The trading volume and liquidity for the coming week still won't be great, and there’s no significant data next week either. If nothing unexpected happens, 2025 will likely pass just like this. Hopefully, the expectations for 2026 will be more accurate.
Before 2026, who knows if Trump will announce the successor for the Federal Reserve Chair. Although the short-term impact on the market might not be significant, at least it would give investors something to look forward to. The bigger issue lies in whether Trump can use this Chair and the Fed seats to control monetary policy. If he can't, it doesn’t matter who takes the position.
Back to Bitcoin data—Sunday saw a further drop in turnover rate, which was expected. Investors are still very relaxed during the holidays. For quite a while now, BTC’s price has been fluctuating around $88,000, especially with the $87,000 supply nearing 800,000 coins. This isn’t a good signal. Whenever the supply at a single price point gets too high, it forces investors to pick a direction.
Historically, there have been many instances of choosing to move forward or backward, with no clear answer. But one thing is certain: if the supply at a single price point continues to pile up, there will definitely be short-term sharp fluctuations. This has never been wrong in history.
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