Hai Ge observes daily 20260102- Leaves are moving The US stock market opened for the first time in the new year, and Bitcoin's rise was gratifying. The collective frenzy of altcoins led by Meme has given us another expectation for 2026! Today, a total of 32 indicators were observed, with 5 indicators showing bullish, 12 indicators showing bearish, and 8 indicators showing uncertain. Among the key selling indicators, 3 are bullish, 2 are bearish, and 2 are uncertain. Although there are not many bullish indicators today, there have been some subtle changes in the emotional level, which Hai Ge will mention later. Some key indicators that need to be emphasized: 1. Funds continue to flow out significantly, but there are beginning to be differences, reflected in the continued decrease in the total amount of stablecoins, but the USDC/USDT exchange rate shows that funds are entering the market to buy at the bottom; 2. Although retail investors and institutions are still generally bearish, their sentiment has increased from 10 to 20, indicating that their sentiment is recovering; 3. The heat map of fund rates shows that the overall bearish situation in the market seems to be changing, which also confirms Hai Ge's previous reminder to be cautious in short selling in the short term; 4. On macro indicators, DXY and US10Y have slightly strengthened, and Haige analysis believes that the demand for future interest rate cuts is still very urgent; 5. VDD and 100BTC continue to display their current position as suitable for opening a position. At the macro level, Trump has postponed a significant increase in tariffs on furniture, and some analysts predict that Trump may push the US economy to achieve strong growth through a wave of tariff reductions and tax refunds. Hai Ge believes that this logic is reasonable, that is, the strategic goal of imposing tariffs has been achieved, and in the later stage, Trump will turn tariffs from barriers into chips, and promote rapid economic growth in the United States by reducing tariffs and adding tax refunds. In addition, by conditionally reducing tariffs to alleviate inflationary pressures, coupled with the newly elected chairman of the Federal Reserve, it can continue to push the Fed to further cut interest rates. So, Hai Ge still maintains optimism about the future, and another factor is the logic that Hai Ge has analyzed multiple times before: at the end of each year, investors will use clearance and profit taking or privacy based tax treatment to avoid high income taxes. As the new fiscal year begins, this portion of funds will return to the market for allocation. At present, ZEC has fallen sharply, while PEPE has driven Meme to rise sharply, which may be consistent with the logic mentioned by Hai Ge above. Finally, provide specific operational suggestions: 1. Avoid short selling in the short term. Hai Ge believes that a major trend market may come, but it still depends on future data observation; 2. Long term partners continue to firmly buy and build positions, waiting for the trend to come; 3. Shanzhai hype is stirring up. Pay close attention to the popular shanzhai tracks that Haige has topped and follow Haige's subsequent sorting of various tracks. Increase your position and enter the market after the funding data and on chain activity have significantly increased.