Phyrex|Jan 05, 2026 20:13
The upward trend of BTC today is good, partly due to its linkage with technology stocks. The United States has given the most direct answer to Venezuela's action market. US stock futures started to rise from the Asian time zone in the morning, and continued to rise after the opening of the US stock market in the evening. This indicates that investors in the United States and Europe also believe this is a good thing, after all, the smooth flow of oil in Venezuela can reduce global inflation, not to mention that the United States plans to develop gold and rare earths together with Venezuela.
Although the price has risen well, the trading volume has not increased significantly, which means that the current increase is not caused by a large amount of funds, and liquidity is still a constraint on cryptocurrency. However, after entering 2026, liquidity has also seen a rebound trend. The focus of 2026 is still on the monetary policy of the United States, and the key of this policy is still Trump.
My personal opinion on the events in Venezuela is that even though there may be disputes between the two parties in the United States, the possibility of releasing Maduro is not high. It should be highly certain that the United States will "take over" and "assist" Venezuela in oil extraction. Venezuela was once the world's largest oil exporting country, even far surpassing Saudi Arabia. The main reason for the decline in Venezuela's oil exports is the system of "nationalization" of oil.
The meaning of US assistance in development is that it will gradually open up Venezuela's oil trading. This is also why it is possible to reduce global inflation.
Looking back at the data of Bitcoin, the price increase has led to a continued increase in turnover rate, but the trading volume has not changed much. Therefore, the increase in turnover rate is likely due to internal changes within the exchange. From the data, short-term profit investors are still the main force of turnover at present, and early investors are still very calm.
The chip structure is still very healthy. We thought it would form a new bottom by oscillating for more time at $87000, but unexpectedly, the US intervention in Venezuela stimulated the risk market and led to a wave of gains. The next step is to see if this rise can stabilize.
Generally speaking, if it is event driven rather than liquidity driven, there is a high possibility of a callback. Let's take a look first.
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