看不懂的SOL|1月 10, 2026 09:05
Breaking down the trending 'George Tritch Economic Cycle Chart' on Twitter!
First, the conclusion: 2026 will be a peak year for economic growth and soaring asset prices, making it the best time to sell stocks and various assets.
Referencing the 19th-century economic cycle chart created by George Tritch (similar to the Kondratiev wave theory),
the core idea is to divide economic cycles into three phases: Panic, Prosperity, and Struggle, with corresponding years marked to guide asset trading decisions based on the cycle.
1. Type A (Panic): Years of economic crises/panic (e.g., 1927, 1945, 2019), characterized by market fear and extreme asset price volatility.
2. Type B (Prosperity): Years of economic growth and soaring asset prices, the best time to sell stocks and various assets (e.g., 2026 is marked as this phase).
3. Type C (Struggle): Years of economic downturn and bottomed-out asset prices, the best time to buy stocks/assets and hold them long-term (e.g., 2023).
According to the chart's logic, 2026 falls in the Prosperity phase (Type B), making it the ideal point to cash in on asset gains: sell the assets bought during the Struggle phase (2023) to lock in profits.
In line with the Kondratiev wave theory, 2026 marks the intersection of the fifth wave (Internet) and the sixth wave (AI + New Energy). This is the time to focus on core sectors of the new cycle, such as AI, new energy, and computing power, rather than clinging to outdated industries.
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