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Adam@Greeks.live
Adam@Greeks.live|1月 28, 2026 12:50
Tomorrow at 3 AM, the Federal Reserve will announce the latest interest rate decision. Based on futures observations, the market believes there’s over a 95% chance of no rate cuts. Gold has hit another new high, and major speculative markets are rallying one after another. Only the crypto market remains relatively weak, with the $90K resistance level still strong and funds continuing to flow out of this market. The Chinese community is more optimistic, with many people predicting this year’s peak and favoring $ETH and silver. On the other hand, the English-speaking community is more pessimistic, generally lacking confidence and looking to short during rebounds. From the options data, bearish trades account for as much as 35% of the volume. IV has slightly decreased, and Skew has shifted positively, indicating that the market is dominated by the power of selling options. Big players are using real money to buy the dip, but it’s worth noting that the traded options are mostly short-term, aiming for a short-term rebound around $90K.
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Timeline

2月 27, 06:35The yield floor provided by the Federal Reserve has collapsed
2月 27, 01:02Spot gold has fallen below $5,170 per ounce
2月 26, 11:03Volatile market, focus on memes and rebounds
2月 25, 15:28Gold could reach $6,000/ounce
2月 25, 04:30BTC is stuck at $64-67k, the market is entering a macro paradigm shift phase.
2月 24, 23:38The price bottoms of Bitcoin and Ethereum will drop significantly.
2月 23, 17:01The main theme of the U.S. economy returns to the combination of high inflation and high interest rates.
2月 23, 02:15BTC is always falling; both rises and falls are narratives.
2月 23, 00:00Risk aversion drives up international gold and silver prices
2月 22, 22:01The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 95.9%.

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