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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|1月 29, 2026 00:21
Gold's volatility is up to 2008 levels: The volatility index of the gold ETF, GLD, relative to the volatility index of the 20+ Treasury Bond ETF, TLT, hit 2.7 points, the highest since 2008. This ratio has DOUBLED since November. This comes as GLD's VIX Index is up to 33.1 points, the highest since the 2020. At the same time, TLT's VIX Index is down to 12.1 points, near the lowest since 2019. Furthermore, gold 3-month minus 1-year implied volatility reached the highest level since 2022. This shows traders expect significantly larger near-term price swings in gold. Precious metal volatility is set to continue.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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Timeline

2月 25, 06:19BSC prediction market liquidity has dropped significantly
2月 11, 00:54The profit-loss ratio continues to decline, reflecting reduced liquidity.
2月 10, 18:54Bitcoin is barely holding above $71k.
2月 08, 11:01Binance SAFU Fund BTC holdings unrealized loss narrows to 2.7%
2月 08, 04:00The NFA project Kinforge has doubled, and its market value has surpassed.
2月 01, 03:11Bitcoin has been in a bear market since October 10.
1月 28, 04:00Gold and silver prices continue to rise
1月 27, 13:21Silver's rise drives trading volume of iShares Silver Trust
1月 27, 09:51Options traders are hedging quite well.
1月 23, 13:56Bitcoin continues to decline in the face of gold's record-breaking surge.

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