74K Must Come ": A New Gravity Zone of Liquidity Has Formed ⚠️ Preface: This article will combine the logic of "Liquidity Analysis" and "On Chain Analysis", I would like to share with you my bias towards the future market, and also attach my complete trading plan for the following period. The sudden drop over the weekend reignited the pessimistic sentiment in the market; But perhaps you haven't noticed: a new signal has quietly arrived, and the 74K hunt has become a high probability event .. ： // Simple overlay Firstly, in my previous post, I repeatedly mentioned my plan for the three major future scenarios: one ️⃣ Complete Stop Hunt and build bottom at 80.5K two ️⃣ Complete Stop Hunt and build bottom at 74K three ️⃣ Both of the above positions did not show a Stop Hunt, and a deeper callback was taken Old friends all know that the so-called Stop Hunt requires three major conditions to be established: ✅ Fall below the liquidity zone ✅ After falling below, withdraw above the liquidity area ✅ Strong taker buy accompanying retrieval Detailed Explanation of Stop Hunt Concept&Real Case Analysis https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/1907261008059777200 When BTC fell below 80.5K over the weekend, we did not see any strong buyer buying, And because it's a weekend, even if there are buyers, based on historical experience, There is also a high probability that it is a scam, and I immediately shared my judgment with everyone in the group at that time. Mr. Beggar's free communication group: https://((((((x.com))))/market_gegar/status/2008354482858672571 Subsequently, BTC continued to penetrate downwards, during which no buyer was willing to come out and defend, At this point, my previously planned script 1 has been confirmed to be invalid, and the market direction is gradually becoming clearer. // New risk signals have quietly arrived In addition to confirming the invalidation of script 1, the weekend's sharp decline also sent another important signal: BTC forms new Equal Lows at 74K position again ‼️」 The so-called Equal Lows refers to horizontal needle tips that are very close in line shape, And these needle tips are very close without being lower than the leftmost needle tip. The existence of Equal Lows implies a significant accumulation of liquidity, According to my previous repeated mention of the 'Liquidity Gravity Effect', There is a high probability that the price will return to the position of Equal Lows in the future and hunt for liquidity in the area. As shown in the attached figure: The lowest point of the weekend decline has formed a new Equal Lows with the low point in April 2025, This means that no matter how the market develops in the future, There is a high probability in the future that we will return to the 74K position again and clean up the liquidity ‼️ The practical application of liquid aggregation areas such as Equal Lows, I have also publicly shared it multiple times on X, and recently I posted it before the crash In the article 'Increased Downward Risk&Short Tranquility Before the Storm', It is precisely using the concept of liquidity to predict the trend of BTC, And the fact once again proves the power of liquidity. BTC Technical Update: Increased Downward Risk&Brief Tranquility Before the Storm https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2015601869922631908 If you still don't believe it, you can go and review the historical K-line of BTC, Check if there are any 'Equal Lows/Highs' that have not been touched at all so far, I believe all skeptical friends can understand my meaning after the review. // Subsequent transaction script As mentioned earlier, there are currently two scripts that I am targeting myself, and I will elaborate on them separately: 1、 Complete Stop Hunt at 74K and build bottom, confirm the bottom of the major level As usual, to complete a Stop Hunt, the following three elements are essential: ✅ Below 74K ✅ After falling below, recover above 74K ✅ Strong taker buy accompanying retrieval It is worth noting that below 74K happens to be the super strong support level of another on chain model, That is, the STH-RP model with deviation adjustment that I often share with you Short term holder costs approaching downward and strong support for regional data updates https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2016327523257483352 At present, the blue line position of this model is about "70K". If Stop Hunt can really be completed, That effectiveness can precisely resonate with this model, laying a solid foundation for the subsequent upward trend - 2、 Stop Hunt did not appear at 74K, look for support below If there are no takers willing to come out to protect the market when it falls below 74K in the future, Then the price may 'truly fall' below 74K, and we will need to find a bottom through other means. I have shared this part of the content multiple times before. Interested friends can read the following posts first: Latest BTC Deep Bear Extreme Valuation Data https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2013067199641247974 Here are a few data and models that I personally pay special attention to: ➡️ Cointime Price: The current price is approximately 51667 Detailed indicator description: https://(((((((x.com))))/market_gegar/status/1871466038107512855 ➡️ Realized Price (Average Market Cost): The current price is approximately 55868 Detailed indicator description: https://(((((((x.com))))/market_gegar/status/1862031455070941350 ➡️ AVIV Heatmap blue area: current price approximately=65220 Detailed indicator description: https://(((((((x.com))))/market_gegar/status/2014515275195154834 In other words, if the future really falls to the positions given by these models, I can assure you that this is definitely a cycle level super golden pit, And I will also lead by example, injecting my remaining funds into these positions and considering leveraging them If you feel doubtful, you can directly click on the "Indicator Description" attached above, There is a performance record of past prices falling to this level, You will find that it is the bottom area of each cycle, without exception until now. // Super consolidation zone in 2024 Here, I would like to share and supplement another equally noteworthy support area with everyone. Dreaming back to 2024, after the first large-scale distribution of BTC in March of that year, BTC began a wide range of fluctuations lasting over 200 days, ultimately resulting in Trump's victory, The next wave of main surge has just begun, but at the same time, a second wave of large-scale distribution has also arrived. Escape Post at the Beginning of 2025: Perhaps You Need to Be Prepared to Escape at Any Time https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/1878653495311839475 You may not have noticed: There are very few cases of BTC oscillating for over 200 days within the same wide range. The essence of oscillation is the 'change of chips', the longer it stays, The price statement states that 'buying in this area can completely counteract selling from old chips', This also means that there is a large amount of funds willing to buy BTC in the region. In theory, after a period of oscillation, the direction will change, because when both long and short sides reach a terrifying balance, Any slight movement could become the last straw to trigger the market But the oscillation that lasted for over 200 days is indeed rare, At that time, shortly after the approval of the ETF, a large amount of external funds entered the market, Fully caught the sell-off from the veteran whales, This undoubtedly laid a solid bottom foundation for the region, so it is not difficult for us to understand: At that time, the consolidation zone (49-74K) had a high probability of being a strong support zone. At this point, I believe everyone has discovered it ： The extremely powerful deep bear bottom valuations mentioned above, The given position perfectly coincides with this large consolidation area. Based on the above inference, I believe that: There is a high probability that the cyclical bottom of BTC in this round will be completed between 49-74K ‼️」 Whether you believe it or not, the words have come to this point and will be verified by time. // Conclusion Here is a brief summary for everyone ： When it fell below 80.5K, no Taker Buy was found, and the previously mentioned script 1 was confirmed to be invalid The price forms a new Equal Lows at 74K, with a high probability of falling below it in the future Future Script 1: 74K completes Stop Hunt and resonates with the STH-RP model blue line Future Script 2: 74K Without Stop Hunt, Look Down for Stronger Support The large-scale consolidation zone from March to November 2024 has a high probability of becoming the bottom of this cycle Perhaps many people feel disappointed and lost about the failure of Script 1, But I actually believe that 'the market situation is gradually becoming clearer', which is not a bad thing. The essence of trading is precisely this: 'plan, then verify'. Now the possibility of script 1 has been ruled out, and there is a lot of strong support below, If you, like me, have a long-term positive outlook on BTC and agree with its revolutionary value, I think this wave of decline should be something that excites all the troops, Because you have to admit: BTC, this high-quality asset, is getting cheaper and cheaper If you find BTC over 100000 too expensive, shouldn't you feel happy now? The length of this article seems a bit too long, as I hope to explain all the situations clearly. I also hope for everyone's understanding. Above, I hope it will be helpful to everyone; New week, I wish you all smooth transactions