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律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|2月 08, 2026 06:52
[2026 Federal Reserve Terminal Rate Forecast: Probability of a 50 basis point rate cut for the year is 32.5%, 75 basis points is 25.9%] BlockBeats news, February 8, according to CME FedWatch data, the probability of the Federal Reserve not cutting rates at all by the end of 2026 is 5.4%. The probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points for the year is 21.1%, 50 basis points is 32.5%, 75 basis points is 25.9%, 100 basis points is 11.7%, and 125 basis points is 3%. Additionally, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Federal Reserve's next meeting (March) is 23.2%.
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Timeline

3月 10, 00:12The U.S. economy faces rising risks of 'stagflation-like' conditions
3月 09, 12:49Iran war increases market crash risk
3月 09, 09:59Oil prices reach $117, rate cuts delayed, USD rises
3月 06, 14:54Federal Reserve's Goolsbee says rate cuts may begin before the end of the year
3月 06, 14:39Non-farm data falling below expectations provides dovish arguments for the Federal Reserve.
3月 06, 07:51Predict.fun FDV Post-Launch Breakthrough Probability
3月 05, 13:10The probability of a rate hike by the European Central Bank has risen to 60%.
3月 05, 11:59Salary expectations slowing down cannot offset the impact of energy inflation.
3月 04, 12:36The Federal Reserve still has room for rate cuts in the second half of the year
3月 04, 09:42The first interest rate cut in 2026 may be delayed until July

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