[The probability of 'Court orders Trump to refund tariffs' being denied surpasses 80% on Polymarket] BlockBeats News, February 22: According to data from the prediction platform Polymarket, the market currently believes that the probability of the court ordering Trump to refund tariffs before July 2026 is 19%, while the probability of denial has risen to 82%. BlockBeats previously reported that on February 20, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled by a 6-3 vote that Trump's trade tariff policy was unlawful. The Supreme Court determined that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not authorize the president to impose tariffs. It upheld the lower court ruling from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit, which found Trump's tariffs to be illegal. Subsequently, Trump called the Supreme Court's decision a 'disgrace.' Trump stated that he already has alternative plans for tariffs following the ruling.