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律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|4月 03, 2026 14:39
[KPMG: Fed Expected to Be Forced to Raise Rates in the Second Half of the Year] BlockBeats News, April 3: The Iran war has intensified global economic stagflation risks. KPMG Chief Economist Diane Swonk stated that once stagflation takes hold, a 'deep recession' might be the only way out. Stagflation is a concerning economic scenario characterized by persistently high inflation and sluggish economic growth. Swonk remarked: 'The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and the resulting surge in oil prices have impacts far beyond a simple oil shock.' She believes the current situation's impact is more severe than any previous oil crisis in history. This directly drives up various costs, leading to price increases, while significantly reducing companies' willingness to hire, thereby impacting the job market. The intertwining of multiple factors continues to elevate stagflation risks. Swonk's views align with those of market investors. She explained: 'The likelihood of the Fed raising rates in the second half of the year is increasing. I expect the Fed will be forced to take this action, and other central banks around the world will follow suit.' (Jin10)
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Timeline

5月 03, 10:36The Federal Reserve's internal stance has shifted, and the policy path is turning toward an assessment of interest rate hikes.
4月 30, 12:41The market's expectation for the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike before the end of 2026 is rising.
4月 30, 00:03The Federal Reserve's next rate cut may be delayed until the fourth quarter
4月 29, 18:47The threshold for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes remains very high
4月 29, 18:17The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike rises to 25%
4月 29, 18:00Four dissenters in the Federal Reserve's decision to pause interest rate hikes
4月 28, 09:30Ray Dalio opposes the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates
4月 23, 22:11The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 99%.
4月 21, 02:01There might be another major pullback, an excellent buying opportunity.
4月 15, 13:02Hammack believes interest rates are in a good position

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