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律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|4月 19, 2026 12:47
[Iran has not confirmed the news of renewed talks with the U.S., but prediction markets still indicate an imminent meeting] BlockBeats News, April 19: Iran's Tasnim News Agency reported today that the news regarding 'an Iranian delegation traveling to Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan, next Tuesday (April 21)' has not yet been officially confirmed by Iranian authorities. (CCTV International News) According to monitoring by PolyBeats, although Iran has stated that the news is unconfirmed, prediction markets on Polymarket show that the probability of 'the next round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks' occurring on multiple dates continues to rise. Currently, the probability of a meeting happening before April 20 (Monday) is 85%, before April 21 (Tuesday) is 91%, and before April 22 (Wednesday) is 94%.
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Timeline

5月 14, 11:00Approximately 30 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz with Tehran's permission.
5月 14, 09:38The UAE participates in military actions against Iran
5月 14, 00:00Iran is only a few weeks away from weapons-grade uranium.
5月 12, 20:13Iran's precondition for negotiations with the U.S. is to end the conflict.
5月 11, 23:36The United States offers a $15 million reward to combat the financial network of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps.
5月 11, 19:41Discussing illegal financial markets in the crypto space
5月 10, 15:51The United States is considering a long-term military presence in Israeli-occupied territories.
5月 09, 22:14The Iranian Revolutionary Guard warns that violating ships will trigger strikes.
5月 09, 15:29The U.S. military continues to enforce the maritime blockade on Iran.
5月 09, 12:18Nationwide oilfield production continues, no reports of oil spills for now.

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