Restrictions on access to social media in the Russian Federation are not about limiting criticism of Putin. The deeper objective is to prevent unrest. What could trigger unrest in our northern neighbor? First and foremost, large-scale mobilization in Russia – meaning mobilization from major cities, including Moscow and Saint Petersburg. The restrictions tell us that no one in Russia would accept mobilization at this scale. Today, mobilization in Russia is disguised as contract service. But adding one to one and a half million personnel to the active army would require full mobilization, because recruiting such numbers through contracts is too costly. Why is large-scale mobilization needed? To launch another major offensive against Ukraine. Or option B, which requires lower costs and less effort, is to carry out small simultaneous offensive in areas where smaller combat forces will suffice. From an interview with the "United News" telethon (4/5).(Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський)