比特TWO|4月 28, 2026 11:53
BTC Market Analysis 2026.04.28
With the FOMC meeting (scheduled for tomorrow) approaching, along with expectations of the Fed maintaining high interest rates and further lowering the probability of rate cuts this year, the rebound in the U.S. Dollar Index is intensifying the pressure on risk asset adjustments. Macro data and policy windows in early May still hold uncertainties.
From a technical perspective, my view remains unchanged from the Sunday video. Currently, BTC has retraced from 79300 to near the blue Gann angle line, which serves as the dividing line between strength and weakness in BTC's trend. A daily close below this level would indicate weakness.
All technical systems outside of Gann theory point to the rebound starting at 60K ending at 79300, signaling that the decline has begun. However, considering the Gann time windows during the week of 5.1 and 5.4, there is still a possibility of seeing a rebound peak or trend reversal. Therefore, I am not concluding that the rebound has definitively ended yet—unless the daily chart consecutively breaks below the blue and red Gann angle lines in the near term and fails to show strong upward movement after 5.1.
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