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星球日报
星球日报|Apr 30, 2026 13:28
Polymarket's probability of zero 25 basis point rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026 has risen to 58%, with a 9% increase in 24 hours Odaily Seer's Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's "zero 25 basis point rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026" has risen to 58%, with a 9% increase in 24 hours. As of now, the total trading volume of the "2026 Fed cuts 25 basis points several times" forecast event has approached $22 million. The contract rules for this event are: settlement will be based on the number of times the Federal Reserve actually cuts interest rates by 25 basis points in 2026 (including any rate cuts at the December meeting). If the Fed cuts interest rates by 50 basis points after one meeting, it will be considered as two rate cuts (each by 25 basis points), and emergency rate cuts outside of the regular meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will also be included in the total rate cuts for 2026. The market will remain open until 11:59 pm Eastern Time on December 31, 2026. If the specified number of interest rate cuts cannot be achieved, the market will settle in advance as' no '. After the release of US economic data today, US interest rate futures data showed a slight increase in market expectations for the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates before the end of 2026. Odaily Seer's Prophet channel continues to monitor and predict the market, seeing changes before pricing.
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Timeline

Apr 30, 13:31U.S. stock market opens with mixed performance in the crypto sector
Apr 30, 12:41The market's expectation for the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike before the end of 2026 is rising.
Apr 29, 18:17The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike rises to 25%
Apr 29, 18:15Bitcoin and Ethereum fall
Apr 29, 18:05The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged
Apr 29, 13:24BTC attempts to stabilize in the $77K region
Apr 29, 11:22Crude Oil Surge Triggers Turmoil
Apr 29, 08:07The Federal Reserve FOMC meeting will be live in 9 hours.
Apr 29, 04:27Bitcoin rises to $77,000 ahead of Fed decision
Apr 28, 15:14Excessive pessimism drives Bitcoin rebound

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