龚有柴GongYouchai
龚有柴GongYouchai|5月 01, 2026 01:02
$BTC is still hovering around $76,000, with last night's dip touching $75,300 before bouncing back. CoinDesk mentioned that the $80,000 level has strong resistance, as short-term holders' cost basis is stuck there. Plus, the derivatives market is scaling back leverage, so there's not much momentum to push higher. Robinhood's Q1 earnings report from last night wasn't great—crypto revenue dropped 47% to $134M, and the stock price fell 13% in a single day. However, their bet on tokenization and prediction markets has multiplied several times, which could be a signal: retail investors aren't moving much in spot trading, but money is still flowing into new opportunities. The macro environment isn't calm either. There’s more turmoil in Iran, with oil prices hitting a four-year high before pulling back. Gold is still sitting high at $4,635, while the dollar index is trending downward (98.18). This mix isn't exactly favorable for $BTC, but it's not catastrophic either—it feels more like consolidation at high levels rather than a prelude to a crash. My personal take: $75K seems like short-term support. If it breaks, we might see $72K, but if there’s good news in May (like the SEC roundtable or a new ETF narrative), the chances of bouncing back above $80K are still there. For now, it’s all about grinding sideways.
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