In the 2026 dot plot, the distribution of interest rate predictions by 19 FOMC participants for the end of 2026 is as follows: - 1 person expects a 75 basis point rate hike - 5 people expect a 50 basis point rate hike - 3 people expect a 25 basis point rate hike - 8 people believe the current midpoint rate should remain unchanged - Only 1 person expects a 25 basis point rate cut Overall, 9 participants expect rate hikes, 8 expect rates to remain unchanged, and only a very small minority of 1 expects a rate cut. The median falls around 3.8%, indicating a general tendency to maintain higher rates in 2026, with very weak expectations for rate cuts. This data shows that Trump has virtually no influence within the Federal Reserve. Stay tuned for the 2:30 PM FOMC meeting—I’ll do my best to live-translate below. Official live stream (English): https://www.(youtube.com)/watch?v=aKllbvCaWvo