#Biden May Pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to predictions by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, and the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. Although this probability is not high, considering that Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, and Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, people still have expectations for Biden to pardon SBF. It is worth noting that SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Silk Road founder Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
There are differing opinions in the market regarding the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, the likelihood of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than pardoning Ross Ulbricht, at 4% and 2% respectively. This suggests that the market believes SBF is more likely to receive a pardon. However, it's important to note that Biden recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, indicating that the possibility of a pardon is closely tied to political factors and the nature of the case itself. Therefore, the final outcome remains to be seen, pending Biden's decision.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict it to be 4%,
The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict it to be 2%,
Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF is still low,
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not made any commitments yet