#Biden may pardon SBF#

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Overview

There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ulbricht, despite the latter being sentenced to life in prison. While Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Polymarket users believe there is only a 4% chance of Biden pardoning SBF and a 2% chance of pardoning Ulbricht. Notably, Trump had promised to look into Ulbricht's case.

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Analysis

The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF has sparked widespread discussion. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, the likelihood of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, while the likelihood of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. Although SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, and Silk Road founder Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015, Polymarket users believe Biden is more likely to pardon SBF. This may be related to Biden's recent commutation of sentences for over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. Despite the low probability of a pardon, the event has still raised concerns about Biden's pardon policy and the SBF case.

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The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict it to be 4%

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The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict it to be 2%

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Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF is still low

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Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet commented on the matter

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