#Biden May Pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
There has been much discussion recently about whether US President Joe Biden will pardon former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). According to data from prediction market Polymarket, users believe there is a 4% chance that Biden will pardon SBF before leaving office, while the chance of pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht is 2%. Although SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence while awaiting appeal, and Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015, Polymarket users believe Biden is more likely to pardon SBF. It is worth noting that Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump promised to handle Ulbricht's case.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
Discussions about whether US President Joe Biden will pardon former FTX CEO SBF have been heating up recently. According to predictions by Polymarket users, the likelihood of Biden pardoning SBF is 4%, while the likelihood of pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht is 2%. Notably, SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. Although Biden recently commuted sentences for over 1,500 people, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, which may have also influenced user predictions about Biden pardoning Ulbricht. Overall, the market is currently cautious about the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF, but the final outcome will depend on Biden's decision.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, currently Polymarket users predict 4%
The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, currently Polymarket users predict 2%
Biden has recently been active in commuting sentences, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains controversial
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet commented on it