#Biden May Pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
There has been much discussion recently about whether US President Joe Biden will pardon former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). According to data from prediction market Polymarket, users believe there is a 4% chance of Biden pardoning SBF, higher than the 2% chance of pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht. Notably, Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. Despite the low probability of a pardon, SBF's case has sparked concerns about cryptocurrency regulation and political intervention, and has brought new discussion to Biden's pardon policy.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
The current discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF is largely focused on bets placed by Polymarket users. According to Polymarket data, users believe there is a 4% chance that Biden will pardon SBF before leaving office, and a 2% chance that he will pardon Ross Ulbricht. This suggests that users believe Biden is more likely to pardon SBF, despite the fact that SBF is serving a 25-year sentence while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison. It is worth noting that Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. This may also have influenced users' expectations regarding Biden's pardon of SBF. Overall, the current analysis of whether Biden will pardon SBF is still in the realm of speculation, and the final outcome will depend on Biden's decision.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict it to be 4%
The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict it to be 2%
Biden has recently commuted the sentences of over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains low
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet commented on the matter