#Bitcoin Futures Speculation Cools Down#

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Overview

Recently, speculation in the Bitcoin futures market has cooled, with traders closing positions due to market uncertainty. Data shows that Bitcoin futures open interest (OI) has shown a decline in speculative momentum, with the medium-term trendline (30-day SMA) peaking and now slightly declining, while the short-term trendline (7-day SMA) has broken below it. This indicates that traders have been closing positions in response to uncertain market conditions.

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Analysis

Signs of cooling speculation in the Bitcoin futures market are becoming increasingly apparent. According to Glassnode data, Bitcoin futures open interest (OI) is showing a decline in speculative momentum. The medium-term trendline (30-day SMA) has peaked and is now slightly declining, while the short-term trendline (7-day SMA) has broken below it. This indicates that traders are closing out positions due to market uncertainty. This trend suggests that traders are cautious about the market outlook and are reducing their risk exposure. This could be due to the recent heightened market volatility and uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment. Although Bitcoin prices have recently rebounded, there are still many uncertainties in the market, such as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, changes in the regulatory environment, and the risk of a global recession. Therefore, traders may be taking a wait-and-see approach, waiting for the market to become clearer.

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Bitcoin futures open interest (OI) shows declining speculative momentum

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The medium-term trend line (30-day SMA) has peaked and is now slightly declining

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The short-term trend line (7-day SMA) has broken below the medium-term trend line

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Traders are closing positions due to market uncertainty

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