#Biden May Pardon SBF#

The current analysis on whether Biden will pardon SBF focuses on two main aspects: the comparison between SBF's sentence and Ross Ulbricht's sentence, and the possibility of Biden's pardon. Polymarket users believe that Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ulbricht, despite SBF currently serving a 25-year sentence while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. This may be related to the nature of SBF's case and its social influence, as well as Biden's recent trend of granting clemency. On the other hand, Polymarket users believe that the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is only 4%, while the probability of pardoning Ulbricht is 2%. This suggests that despite the widespread attention SBF's case has received, the likelihood of Biden pardoning him remains low. Overall, there is no clear conclusion yet on whether Biden will pardon SBF, but both SBF's case and Biden's pardon policy will continue to be closely watched.