#Biden may pardon SBF#

Currently, the analysis of whether Biden will pardon SBF mainly focuses on the following aspects: First, Polymarket users bet that Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ubricht, indicating that the market believes SBF is more likely to be pardoned. Second, Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, suggesting that he may be willing to consider pardoning SBF. However, it is worth noting that Polymarket users believe that Biden has only a 4% chance of pardoning SBF before leaving office, and a 2% chance of pardoning Ross Ulbricht, indicating that the market is cautious about the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF. In addition, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, suggesting that the possibility of pardoning SBF is controversial. In conclusion, there is no clear conclusion yet on whether Biden will pardon SBF, the market is cautious about the possibility of this event, and the final outcome will have to wait for Biden's decision.