#Biden may pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to predictions by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, while the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. This suggests that despite SBF serving a 25-year sentence, he is considered more likely to receive a pardon than Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, who was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. It is worth noting that Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump promised to handle Ulbricht's case. Therefore, whether Biden will pardon SBF remains an open question, and his final decision will depend on a variety of factors.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
There has been much discussion recently about whether US President Joe Biden will pardon former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). According to data from prediction market platform Polymarket, users believe there is a 4% chance that Biden will pardon SBF before leaving office, while the chance of pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht is 2%. It is worth noting that Biden has recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. Although SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence while awaiting appeal, Polymarket users believe that Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ulbricht. This may be related to the nature of SBF's case and his notoriety in the cryptocurrency space. However, the final outcome will depend on Biden's decision.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict it to be 4%,
The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict it to be 2%,
Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains controversial,
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet commented on the matter