#Biden May Pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
There has been much discussion recently about whether US President Joe Biden will pardon former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). According to data from prediction market platform Polymarket, users believe there is a 4% chance that Biden will pardon SBF before leaving office, while the chance of pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht is only 2%. Notably, Biden has recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. Although SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence while awaiting appeal, he appears to have a higher chance of being pardoned compared to Ulbricht's life sentence.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
Currently, the analysis of whether Biden will pardon SBF mainly focuses on two aspects: one is the possibility analysis, and the other is the comparison with the Ross Ulbricht case. According to bets by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, and the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. This means that users believe that Biden is more likely to pardon SBF. This may be related to the nature of SBF's case, as he is accused of crimes mainly related to fraud and money laundering, while Ross Ulbricht was sentenced to life imprisonment for drug trafficking. In addition, Biden recently commuted the sentences of more than 1,500 people, while Trump promised to handle Ulbricht's case, which may also have affected users' expectations of Biden pardoning SBF. In conclusion, although the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is currently not high, this event has still sparked widespread discussion, and future developments are worth watching.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict it to be 4%,
The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict it to be 2%,
Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains low,
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet made any commitments