#Biden may pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
Whether US President Joe Biden will pardon former FTX CEO SBF has become a hot topic recently. According to data from prediction market Polymarket, users believe there is a 4% chance of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office, and a 2% chance of pardoning Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road. Although Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, the complexity of SBF's case and public attention to the FTX scandal make it less likely that he will be pardoned. It is worth noting that Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, while SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence and awaiting appeal.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
There are differing opinions in the market regarding the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, the likelihood of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than pardoning Ross Ulbricht, at 4% and 2% respectively. This suggests that the market believes SBF is more likely to receive a pardon, despite him serving a 25-year sentence while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison. It's worth noting that Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, which may have also influenced the market's expectations for SBF's pardon. However, the final outcome will depend on Biden's decision.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, with Polymarket users predicting only 4%
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than pardoning Ross Ulbricht, who was sentenced to life in prison
Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains low
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet made any commitments