#Biden may pardon SBF#

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Overview

There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ulbricht, despite the latter being sentenced to life in prison. Although Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Polymarket users believe there is only a 4% chance that Biden will pardon SBF before leaving office, and only a 2% chance that he will pardon Ross Ulbricht. It is worth noting that Trump had promised to look into Ulbricht's case.

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Analysis

There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, the likelihood of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than that of pardoning Ross Ulbricht, at 4% and 2% respectively. While this probability is not high, it has still attracted widespread attention. It is worth noting that Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. Therefore, whether Biden will pardon SBF and the likelihood of a pardon remain open questions that require further observation and analysis.

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Classic Views

The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict it to be 4%

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The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict it to be 2%

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Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF is still low

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Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet commented on the matter

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