#Biden may pardon SBF#

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Overview

There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, and the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. While this probability is not high, considering that Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, and Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, the possibility of SBF being pardoned is not entirely absent. It is worth noting that SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, was sentenced to life in prison in 2015.

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Analysis

The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF has sparked debate, with Polymarket users placing the likelihood at 4%, higher than the 2% chance of Ross Ulbricht being pardoned. SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Silk Road founder Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. While Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. This contrast has fueled speculation about whether Biden will pardon SBF. Despite the low probability, this event is worth watching as it could impact the future of the cryptocurrency industry.

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Classic Views

The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, with Polymarket users predicting only 4%

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The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than pardoning Ross Ulbricht, who was sentenced to life in prison

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Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains low

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Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet commented on the matter

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