#Biden May Pardon SBF#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, and the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. While this probability is not high, considering Biden's recent reduction of sentences for over 1,500 people and Trump's promise to handle Ulbricht's case, people are hopeful about the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF. It is worth noting that SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Silk Road founder Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
There has been much discussion recently about whether US President Joe Biden will pardon former FTX CEO SBF. According to data from prediction market platform Polymarket, users believe there is a 4% chance of Biden pardoning SBF, while the chance of pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht is 2%. This suggests that users believe SBF is more likely to be pardoned, despite the fact that SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence while awaiting appeal, and Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. It is worth noting that Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. This may also explain why users have higher expectations for SBF's pardon. However, the final outcome will depend on Biden's decision.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict 4%
The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict 2%
Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains low
Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet made a clear statement on this