#Bitcoin may consolidate#

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Overview

The Bitcoin market has recently shown signs of consolidation, with Matrixport's weekly report pointing to macroeconomic headwinds and global liquidity shifts as the primary drivers behind the consolidation phase. While ETF inflows have remained steady, the Fed's hawkish stance could limit further upside for Bitcoin. The report suggests that Bitcoin's rally is more influenced by Fed policy than ETF launches. Technically, the "shooting star" candlestick pattern suggests that the intermediate uptrend may be nearing its end. With low implied volatility, options are seen as an effective risk management tool, allowing traders to capture upside potential through call options or protect gains with put options.

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Analysis

The Bitcoin market is likely to enter a consolidation phase in the near term, according to the Matrixport weekly report. Macroeconomic headwinds and global liquidity shifts are cited as the primary reasons. While ETF inflows have been steady, the Fed's hawkish stance may limit further upside for Bitcoin. The report suggests that Bitcoin's rally has been driven more by Fed policy than ETF launches. Technically, the "shooting star" candlestick pattern suggests that the medium-term uptrend may be nearing its end. With low implied volatility, options are seen as an effective risk management tool. Traders can use call options to capture upside potential or put options to protect gains. Additionally, Bitcoin prices fell from $102,000 to $91,000 in the first week of 2025, although a rebound to $95,000 occurred. However, the weekly candle looks potentially bearish. These factors suggest that Bitcoin may face a correction in the short term, and investors should proceed with caution.

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Classic Views

Macroeconomic headwinds and global liquidity changes could lead Bitcoin into a consolidation phase.

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The Fed's hawkish stance could limit further gains in Bitcoin.

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Bitcoin's rally is more influenced by Fed policy than ETF launches.

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Options can be an effective risk management tool, allowing traders to capture upside opportunities with call options or protect profits with put options.

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