#Bitcoin may consolidate#

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Overview

Bitcoin market is facing the possibility of consolidation in the near term. Matrixport's weekly report indicates that macroeconomic headwinds and global liquidity changes could lead Bitcoin into a consolidation phase. Despite stable ETF inflows, the Fed's hawkish stance may limit further upside for Bitcoin. The report suggests that Bitcoin's rally is more influenced by Fed policy than ETF launches. Technically, the "shooting star" candlestick pattern suggests that the medium-term uptrend may be nearing its end. With low implied volatility, options are considered an effective risk management tool. Traders can use call options to capture upside opportunities or put options to protect gains.

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Analysis

The Bitcoin market is facing the possibility of consolidation in the near term. The Matrixport weekly report points out that macroeconomic headwinds and global liquidity changes could be the main factors driving Bitcoin into a consolidation phase. While ETF inflows remain steady, the Fed's hawkish stance could limit further upside for Bitcoin. The report argues that Bitcoin's rally is more influenced by Fed policy than ETF launches. Technically, the "shooting star" candlestick pattern suggests that the medium-term uptrend may be nearing its end. With low implied volatility, options are seen as an effective risk management tool, allowing traders to capture upside opportunities with call options or protect gains with put options. Additionally, the bearish trend in the first week of 2025 has further fueled market concerns about Bitcoin consolidation, with prices falling from $102,000 to $91,000, although a rebound to $95,000, the weekly candle still looks bearish. Overall, macroeconomic challenges, Fed policy, and technical signals all point to a potential consolidation phase for Bitcoin, and investors need to carefully monitor market developments and take appropriate risk management measures.

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Classic Views

Macroeconomic headwinds and global liquidity changes could lead Bitcoin into a consolidation phase.

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The Fed's hawkish stance could limit further gains in Bitcoin.

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Bitcoin's rally is more influenced by Fed policy than ETF launches.

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Options can be an effective risk management tool, helping traders capture upside opportunities or protect profits.

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