### Trump Bitcoin Reserve Probability Soars#
Hot Topic Overview
Overview
The likelihood of Donald Trump establishing a US national Bitcoin reserve has surged in recent times. On the prediction market Kalshi, the probability of this event has risen from 40% on January 10th to the current 68.8%, with some analysts predicting a 70% chance of it happening by 2025. This trend could be attributed to the appointment of Donald Trump Jr., Trump's eldest son, as a strategic advisor to Kalshi, or it could reflect a shift in market expectations regarding Trump's future policy direction.
Ace Hot Topic Analysis
Analysis
The likelihood of Donald Trump establishing a US national Bitcoin reserve has surged recently, with the probability of the event occurring on the prediction market Kalshi rising from 40% on January 10th, when the crypto market bottomed, to 68.8%. This increase in probability may be related to the announcement on October 13th by Donald Trump Jr., Trump's eldest son, that he would serve as a strategic advisor to the prediction market Kalshi. The latest news indicates that Kalshi has stated that the probability of Trump establishing a US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025 is 70%. This news further fueled market speculation that Trump may take this action. Although there is currently no concrete evidence that Trump intends to establish a national Bitcoin reserve, the possibility of this event is rising and has attracted significant market attention.
Public Sentiment · Discussion Word Cloud
Public Sentiment
Discussion Word Cloud
Classic Views
The probability of Trump establishing a US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025 is very high, currently reaching 70%
The probability of Trump establishing a national Bitcoin reserve has risen sharply recently, from 40% on January 10th to 68.8% currently
Donald Trump Jr., Trump's eldest son, serves as a strategic advisor to the prediction market Kalshi, and may have played a role in the rise of this probability
The bottoming of the crypto market may also have contributed to the rise of this probability