Futures first: total open interest (OI) sits around $7.64 billion across venues, roughly 2.66 billion XRP notionally. Coinglass.com stats show Bitget currently holds the largest slice by share, with CME, Binance, and Bybit clustered close, each north of $1 billion in open interest.
Hourly changes are muted; leverage looks steady rather than overcooked. Venue mix matters. CME’s $1.24 billion OI points to persistent institutional activity, while Binance and Bybit are still keeping flows quite lively.
Source: Coinglass.com
Kucoin, Gate, OKX, WhiteBIT, BingX, and MEXC round out a long tail that has thickened liquidity even as funding and basis remain well-behaved. On options, positioning—not panic—is the headline.
On the Derivatives platform Deribit, total XRP options open interest stands near 45,275 contracts with 35,925 calls versus 9,350 puts, a put/call ratio of 0.26. Notional value is about $130.7 million. Over the past 24 hours, calls and puts traded roughly evenly, leaving the day’s put/call volume near 0.94.
Strike heat is clustered from $3 to $4.10. The bulkiest bars sit near $3.10, $3.90, and $4.10, hinting at dealers’ long gamma into round numbers and loftier bets above the $4 range. Puts congregate around $3–$3.30, reading like hedges rather than outright doom.
Expiration risk is front-loaded. The Sept. 26 stack dominates the board, led by in-the-money calls north of 20,000 contracts, with smaller but meaningful lines staged for late October and December. That calendar shape implies near-dated headlines can yank deltas quickly.
Implied volatility tells a calmer story. The term structure slopes downward from the mid-60s this week toward the high-50s by year-end, suggesting traders expect realized chop to cool even as open interest builds. Translation: payoffs, not panic, are doing the talking.
Flow color agrees. Activity splits roughly a quarter each across calls bought, calls sold, puts bought, and puts sold, with a slight lean toward put selling. That is classic carry behavior—collect premium while XRP’s spot price grinds and wait for the bat signal.
Spot keeps tapping $2.75–$3.10. A daily close above $3.05–$3.10 could invite options feedback toward $3.30–$3.50 as dealers chase; lose $2.75 and hedges likely drive a quick detour into the mid-$2.60s. For now, the derivatives structure looks constructive, the breadth across futures venues is healthy, and patience pays.
Key watch items this week: spot around $3, funding drift, CME share shifts, and Sept. 26 expiries—any surprise there can flip the tape fast.
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