Arthur Hayes Bitcoin Prediction Hints to $90K: Will BTC Crash Happen?

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has warned that Bitcoin could soon drop to the $90,000 mark. While this may sound surprising since Bitcoin price today is around $110,015, Hayes believes a drop is possible due to a mix of technical patterns, global events, and liquidity issues.

Source: X

His warning is attracting attention across the crypto world, especially with the Jackson Hole conference coming up in August.

Why $90K? Arthur Hayes Bitcoin Prediction Explained

The main reason Arthur Hayes Bitcoin Prediction points to $90,000 is that since April 2025, it has never dropped below that level. It has acted as strong support in the past. Also, the candlestick chart shows a trend of lower highs and lower lows, meaning there is a chance of more decline before any recovery begins.

Source: CoinMarketCap

But chart signals aren’t the only reason. Hayes thinks that if the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) starts draining USD liquidity from markets, it might fall due to less available money in the system. His firm Maelstrom has already sold off risky altcoins and may reduce its BTC exposure as well.

Reasons Behind Possible BTC Crash: Stablecoins, Trump Tariffs & Patterns

1. Stablecoin Regulation Could Change the Game

The rise of stablecoins is one of the biggest shifts this cycle. After the U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act , banks like JPMorgan may now launch their own stablecoins backed by USD. This is a big step, but it also allows the U.S. government to control crypto liquidity more directly.

Crypto-native firms are also adjusting. For example, Ripple applies for US banking license —the same as traditional banks. This shift is backed by heavy regulations, which could reduce decentralization. Hayes sees this regulation wave as a strong reason for concern.

2. Trump Tariff News Could Add Pressure

Trump tariff news today is another key concern. On July 9 , the pause on new tariffs will end, and Trump could impose more taxes on imports. For example, Vietnam recently saw 20% tariffs , and Trump previously planned up to 40% on Vietnamese goods.

Source: X

If trade tensions grow, it could hurt markets, including BTC.

3. Tom Demark Sequential Indicator Shows a Bearish Signal

Experts like Ali Martinez have spotted a risky pattern in the Bitcoin chart. He compared the current price action to 2015 and 2018—both times BTC crashed over 70% . According to him, the Tom Demark Sequential Indicator is giving a sell signal .

Source: Ali Martinez

If this repeats, BTC could even go down to $40K. While that’s extreme, the current pattern still hints at a dip to $90K .

Bitcoin Price Prediction : Crash or Buying Opportunity?

Looking at the Bitcoin price prediction , BTC is facing resistance between $110,000 and $112,000. Support is found near $96,000–$98,000. If prices break above $112,000, the next stop could be $120K–$125K. But if it fails to hold $105K, a drop to $92,000– $90,000 becomes very likely—matching Arthur Hayes Bitcoin Prediction .

The price is right now trading in a very narrow range between $105K and $112K. This is forming a symmetrical triangle, and it can break either direction. If it broke down, would Bitcoin crash? Hayes believes that $90,000 is not just possible but is actually a good place to accumulate. For investors, taking a slow approach and accumulating from $98,000 to $90,000 may be the best thing to do for long-term profit.

Conclusion

In plain terms, Arthur Hayes believes BTC can drop as low as $90,000 before it turns around. The catalysts are additional stablecoin regulations, unclear Trump tariff news today, and bearish chart setups. But on the other hand, don't panic. It might also be an intelligent entry point if you are willing to hold BTC for the long term.

Disclaimer: The information contained in this article is for information purposes only. It is not advice to invest. BTC price is highly volatile and can change suddenly. Please do your own research before making an investment decision.